Stock market analytics, financial forecasts

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XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast
04:50 2025-04-16 UTC--5
Exchange Rates analysis

Gold continues to draw investor attention, particularly in times of heightened uncertainty in financial markets.

Trade Uncertainty: Ongoing uncertainty in trade relations between the U.S. and China makes gold an attractive safe-haven asset. Investors seek refuge in gold during periods of instability.

Fed Policy Easing: Expectations of aggressive monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve are supporting gold prices at elevated levels. Forecasts of a 100-basis-point rate cut in 2025 create favorable conditions for the precious metal's upward momentum.

Weak U.S. Dollar: The weakening U.S. dollar—currently trading at levels last seen in April 2022—also contributes to higher gold prices. The yellow metal typically appreciates when the dollar weakens.

Technical Outlook: From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on daily and 4-hour charts shows slightly overbought conditions, signaling the need for caution among bullish traders. It also suggests that a short-term correction may be necessary. Therefore, traders may want to wait for a period of consolidation or a moderate pullback before entering new long positions.

In the event of a correction, support may be found in the $3246–3245 level, as well as near the $3230–3229 zone at the Asian session low. A deeper decline could be viewed as a buying opportunity, likely limited by the psychological level of $3200.


    






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Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.