Stock market analytics, financial forecasts

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XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast
03:25 2025-02-06 UTC--6
Exchange Rates analysis

Gold prices are showing signs of consolidation after reaching an all-time high in the $2882–2883 range, as the U.S. dollar stages a modest rebound from its more than one-week low. This development has prompted bulls to take a step back, given the market's overbought conditions.analytics67a474f29c075.jpg

Despite some profit-taking, downside momentum remains limited for gold, requiring caution from sellers before assuming that the precious metal has peaked. Several key drivers continue to support gold's strength:

  • U.S.-China Trade War: Uncertainty surrounding trade tensions and potential economic repercussions from increased tariffs sustain demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
  • Federal Reserve Policy: Expectations of continued Fed rate cuts in 2025 and a recent decline in U.S. Treasury yields further enhance gold's attractiveness.
  • Technical Overbought Conditions: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has surpassed the 70 level, indicating overbought conditions. This suggests that short-term consolidation or a moderate pullback may provide a safer entry opportunity for new buyers.

Key Technical Levels to Watch

If a correction occurs, support is expected in the $2855–2850 level, where buyers may step in to stabilize prices. A break below this zone could expose gold to further downside toward $2810–2800. The $2773–2772 level serves as a major support level—a breakdown below this threshold could trigger technical selling, leading to a deeper retracement.

analytics67a4750bdc64f.jpg

However, the recent breakout through key resistance levels suggests that the path of least resistance for gold remains to the upside.


    






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Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.