Energy crisis to deepen? | 分析评论
 

分析评论

Forexmart的分析评价提供有关金融市场的最新的技术信息. 这些报告涵盖了股票趋势, 金融预测, 全球经济报告以及影响市场的政治新闻等.

Disclaimer:   ForexMart不提供投资建议,所提供的分析不应被解释为对未来结果的承诺。

Energy crisis to deepen?
05:04 2021-10-21 UTC--4

On Wednesday, gas futures for November delivery in Europe soared by over 5%, settling at $1,040 per 1,000 cubic meters. During early trading on Thursday, the price gained 1%. Dutch TTF Gas futures opened at $1,1275.5 per 1,000 cubic meters and climbed to $1,132.8 later.

When determining the dynamic of futures, the settlement price of the previous trading day is usually considered. Yesterday, trading closed at $1,119.1 per 1,000 cubic meters, while the settlement price was at $1,120.9.

At the moment of writing, natural gas futures are at the level of 5,131.

analytics61712c88ba64e.jpg

Gas prices in Europe have recently been growing exponentially. In the summer, the settlement price of Dutch TTF Gas futures was $515 per 1,000 cubic meters. By the end of September, this figure doubled. On October 6, natural gas hit an all-time high of $ 1,937 per 1,000 cubic meters. Later, however, global energy prices went down.

The energy crisis in Europe emerged due to an insufficient amount of raw materials in Europe's underground storage facilities and supply shortages. The situation is exacerbated by the high demand for liquefied natural gas in Asia.

Saxo Bank's Head of Commodity Strategy Ole Hansen is convinced that natural gas will continue to be a very expensive commodity. On the one hand, gas reserves in the EU were steadily growing in recent weeks. Obviously, in case of normal weather conditions this winter, the current volume of gas in storage facilities will be enough to provide Europe with heat throughout the entire season.

On the other hand, due to climate changes, it is impossible to predict how frosty the next 3-4 months might be. If taking into account the low level of energy generated from renewable sources and unusually low temperatures, it becomes clear why the EU government, as well as experts, are worried. That is why Ole Hansen is so sure that natural gas prices will remain high for a long time.

However, officials from the European Commission do not agree with this statement. Despite all the frenzy, they continue to convince the public that nothing threatens the EU's energy supply and prices will stabilize by April 2022.

At the same time, Hansen says factories could shut down from gas shortages, which could lead to widespread factory closures as demand would outstrip supply.

反馈

ForexMart is authorized and regulated in various jurisdictions.

(Reg No.23071, IBC 2015) with a registered office at Shamrock Lodge, Murray Road, Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Restricted Regions: the United States of America, North Korea, Sudan, Syria and some other regions.


© 2015-2024 Tradomart SV Ltd.
Top Top
风险提示:
外汇本质上有高度的投机性和复杂性,可能并不适合所有投资者。 外汇交易可能会带来重大的收益或损失。 因此,建议您不要承担无法承受的损失。 在使用ForexMart提供的服务之前,请确认外汇交易相关联的风险。 必要时寻求独立的财务意见。请注意,过去的业绩和预测都不是未来结果的可靠指标。
外汇本质上有高度的投机性和复杂性,可能并不适合所有投资者。 外汇交易可能会带来重大的收益或损失。 因此,建议您不要承担无法承受的损失。 在使用ForexMart提供的服务之前,请确认外汇交易相关联的风险。 必要时寻求独立的财务意见。请注意,过去的业绩和预测都不是未来结果的可靠指标。