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Gold: attention at downtrend line
09:40 2022-05-19 UTC--4

The price of gold rallied in the short term as the Dollar Index plunged. USD's depreciation versus its rivals helped the yellow metal to come back higher. Technically, after its massive, a rebound was natural. It was traded at 1,839 at the time of writing far above 1,810 today's low.

XAU/USD increased by 1.70% from today's low to today's high of 1,841 level. Fundamentally, the Australian Unemployment Rate dropped from 4.0% to 3.9% as expected, while the Employment Change came in at 4.0K below 30.0K estimates.

Earlier, the US reported worse than expected data, this could be good for XAU/USD. The Unemployment Claims climbed from 197K to 218K in the last week, while the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index dropped unexpectedly lower from 17.6 points to 2.6 points far below 14.9 expected.

XAU/USD Strong Rally!

XAU/USD dropped a little in the short term after finding resistance at 1,831. Still, the sell-off was only a temporary one, the rate found support at the 1,807 level, and now it has rallied, ignoring the 1,831 key level.

As you can see on the h4 chart, Gold reached the downtrend line which represents a dynamic resistance. As long as it stays below this line, the bias remains bearish.

XAU/USD Forecast!

Gold could register a new sell-off if it makes only false breakouts above the downtrend line and if it fails to stabilize above 1,831.

Stabilizing above the 1,831 and making a valid breakout through the downtrend line may signal further growth and could bring new long opportunities.

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外汇本质上有高度的投机性和复杂性,可能并不适合所有投资者。 外汇交易可能会带来重大的收益或损失。 因此,建议您不要承担无法承受的损失。 在使用ForexMart提供的服务之前,请确认外汇交易相关联的风险。 必要时寻求独立的财务意见。请注意,过去的业绩和预测都不是未来结果的可靠指标。