Trend Analysis

In December, from the level of 1.1598 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may begin moving downward toward 1.1252 — the 38.2% retracement level (yellow dashed line). From this level, the market may show a corrective upward move toward 1.1315 — the support line (thin blue line).

Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart).

Indicator Analysis:

• Indicator analysis — downward
• Fibonacci levels — downward
• Volume — downward
• Candlestick analysis — downward
• Trend analysis — downward
• Bollinger Bands — downward

Conclusion from comprehensive analysis: a downward trend is possible.

Overall Summary for the Monthly EUR/USD Candle:

The price will most likely show a downward tendency, with the monthly bearish candle lacking the first upper shadow (first week of the month — bearish) and having the second lower shadow (last week of the month — bullish).

Alternative Scenario:

From the level of 1.1598 (the close of the November monthly candle), the price may continue moving downward toward 1.1391 — the lower fractal (monthly candle of August 1, 2025). From this level, the market may move upward toward 1.1506 — the 23.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line).