Analytical Reviews

Forexmart's analytical reviews provide up-to-date technical information about the financial market. These reports range from stock trends, to financial forecasts, to global economy reports, and political news that impact the market.

Disclaimer:  Information provided here to retail and professional clients does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or an investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance.

EUR/USD Forecast for July 4, 2025
23:01 2025-07-03 UTC--5

The main event of yesterday largely aligned with our forecasts — specifically, the anticipated "number play" occurred. But it was done very delicately, just enough to halt the growth of anti-dollar currencies. Reuters' initial Nonfarm Payrolls forecast was 120,000, but on the day of the release, it was revised down to 111,000, making the published figure of 147,000 new jobs appear more significant. The May figure was also revised upward by 5,000. Finally, given the preceding very weak labor data — such as initial jobless claims, layoff rates, ISM employment indices, and others — the empirical expectation was about 90,000 jobs added.

Market trading volumes during the last upward wave of the euro in late June were below average and declined each day. Yesterday saw the lowest daily volume. Even accounting for the shortened U.S. trading day, the trend is clear. That is why no significant manipulation of labor data was needed — the goal was achieved: ahead of major political events next week, the advance of anti-dollar currencies has been halted. Even at the European Central Bank conference in Sintra earlier this week, risks associated with a rapidly appreciating euro were noted.

Today is a holiday in the U.S., so we do not expect strong market moves.

To confirm all of the above, the price must break through the MACD line support on the daily chart around 1.1673. If this happens, the targets will open at 1.1535 and 1.1420.

analytics6867510c2d4e1.jpg

On the four-hour chart, the support zone is defined as 1.1673–1.1726, formed by the MACD lines of two timeframes. We await further developments starting next week.


    






コメントする

ForexMart is authorized and regulated in various jurisdictions.

(Reg No.23071, IBC 2015) with a registered office at First Floor, SVG Teachers Co-operative Credit Union Limited Uptown Building, Corner of James and Middle Street, Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Restricted Regions: the United States of America, North Korea, Sudan, Syria and some other regions.


© 2015-2025 Tradomart SV Ltd.
Top Top
Risk Warning:
Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.
Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.