The US economy is showing early signs of a recession amid a cooling labor market and a record negative revision to employment data.
However, investors continue to respond optimistically to monetary and fiscal stimulus, supporting stock market growth.
Analysts warn that prolonged labor market weakness could trigger a deeper decline in business activity.
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US stock indices reached new all-time highs on expectations of Fed rate cuts due to labor market weakness.
Investors are closely watching upcoming inflation data, which could influence the regulator's decisions.
Market participants believe that soft data could accelerate the rate-cutting cycle.
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Donald Trump's new tariff threats are affecting the oil market, while technology stocks such as Oracle and Google are showing strong performance on optimism around AI and cloud technologies.
Despite tensions, investors remain interested in the tech sector as a growth driver.
Experts note that further AI developments could help offset negative factors.
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Ahead of inflation data releases, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq showed positive dynamics, while Nebius shares jumped significantly on rumors of a Microsoft contract.
In this context, investors also anticipated substantial monetary easing from the Fed.
Additional focus is on the PCE report, which could set the tone for the regulator's September monetary policy meeting.
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