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If XAU/USD successfully breaks through and closes below the Pivot, it has the potential to continue its decline to the next support level, Friday, July 18, 2025.
00:02 2025-07-18 UTC--5
Exchange Rates analysis

XAU/USD – Friday, July 18, 2025.

The potential for XAU/USD to weaken continues, as reflected in The EMA (50) is below the EMA (200) and the RSI (14) is in the Bearish Neutral area.

Key Levels

1. Resistance 2: 3375.63.

2. Resistance 1: 3357.17.

3. Pivot: 3333.21.

4. Support 1: 3314.75.

5. Support 2: 3290.79.

Tactical Scenario

Pressure Prone Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 3333.21, XAU/USD will continue to weaken to 3314.75.

Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3314.75 level is successfully broken and closes below it, XAU/USD has the potential to continue its weakness to 3290.79.

Level Invalidation / Bias Revision

Downside bias is maintained if XAU/USD breaks through and closes above 3375.63.

Technical Summary

EMA(50): 3336.63.

EMA(200): 3338.38.

RSI(14): 48.82.

Economic News Release Agenda:

With the appreciation of the Dollar Index, still quite strong US economic data, and declining gold demand, XAU/USD has the potential to weaken today.

Today's US economic data releases are scheduled:

Building Permits - 7:30 PM WIB.

Housing Starts - 7:30 PM WIB.

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 9:00 PM WIB.

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations - 9:00 PM WIB.

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Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.