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AUD/USD dynamics scenarios on October 2, 2023
08:18 2023-10-02 UTC--4

Despite the correction observed at the end of last week, AUD/USD remains in a bearish zone, short-term—below resistance levels of 0.6420 (200 EMA on the 1-hour chart), 0.6454 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart), medium-term—below resistance levels of 0.6595 (144 EMA on the daily chart), 0.6640 (200 EMA on the daily chart), and long-term—below key resistance levels of 0.6895 (144 EMA on the weekly chart), 0.6985 (200 EMA on the weekly chart).

analytics651aa599bfdf2.jpg

We also assumed that a break below today's low of 0.6394 may signal an increase in short positions on AUD/USD, which remains under pressure from strong fundamental factors.

The nearest targets here will be local support levels at 0.6360, 0.6335, and more distant ones will be at 0.6200, 0.6170 (2022 lows), 0.6100 (the lower boundary of the downward channel on the weekly chart).

analytics651aa5a4da10a.jpg

In an alternative scenario, the price will break the important short-term resistance level of 0.6454 (200 EMA on the 4-hour chart and 23.6% Fibonacci level correction in the downward wave from 0.9500 to 0.5510) and rise to the important resistance level of 0.6480 (50 EMA on the daily chart). Its breakout, in turn, may trigger further corrective growth with targets at medium-term resistance levels of 0.6595 (144 EMA on the daily chart), 0.6640 (200 EMA on the daily chart), and 0.6655 (50 EMA on the weekly chart).

However, only a breakout of key resistance levels of 0.6985 (200 EMA on the weekly chart) and 0.7040 (38.2% Fibonacci level correction in the downward wave from 0.9500 to 0.5510) will bring AUD/USD into the long-term bullish zone.

Thus, short positions remain preferable.

Support levels: 0.6394, 0.6360, 0.6335, 0.6300, 0.6285, 0.6200, 0.6170

Resistance levels: 0.6420, 0.6454, 0.6480, 0.6500, 0.6515, 0.6560, 0.6595, 0.6600, 0.6640, 0.6655, 0.6700, 0.6740, 0.6800, 0.6840, 0.6895, 0.6900, 0.6925, 0.7000, 0.7010, 0.7040

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外汇本质上有高度的投机性和复杂性,可能并不适合所有投资者。 外汇交易可能会带来重大的收益或损失。 因此,建议您不要承担无法承受的损失。 在使用ForexMart提供的服务之前,请确认外汇交易相关联的风险。 必要时寻求独立的财务意见。请注意,过去的业绩和预测都不是未来结果的可靠指标。