Analytical Reviews

Forexmart's analytical reviews provide up-to-date technical information about the financial market. These reports range from stock trends, to financial forecasts, to global economy reports, and political news that impact the market.

Disclaimer:  Information provided here to retail and professional clients does not contain and should not be construed as containing investment advice or an investment recommendation or an offer or solicitation to engage in any transaction or strategy in financial instruments. Past performance is not a guarantee or prediction of future performance.

The ECB Is Not Obliged to React
04:00 2025-12-03 UTC--5
Yesterday's inflation data for the eurozone prompted a series of comments from European Central Bank officials. However, in the currency market itself, the released report was largely ignored."The European Central Bank is not obliged to react to small deviations from the 2% inflation target. It should keep its powder dry so it can respond when there is a real need to change policy," said Governing Council member Martin Kocher in an interview.

As a reminder, according to yesterday's data, consumer prices in the eurozone rose by 2.2% in November compared to the same period last year, higher than the 2.1% average level in the previous month and slightly above the median economist forecast. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, remained unchanged at 2.4%.

After the sharp surge following the pandemic, inflation in the euro area's 20 countries has remained near the 2% target for nine months, while underlying pressure is also easing, though more slowly.

"We cannot and should not engage in micromanagement through monetary policy," Kocher said. "We are seeing very high valuations in financial markets, especially in the U.S., where AI-related stocks are rising. Therefore, ensuring financial stability is important." Kocher also noted that European banks are very stable, but problems could spill over from the U.S., which calls for a certain level of caution.

Kocher emphasized that the ECB must remain flexible and avoid rushing into further rate cuts despite signs of favorable inflation. Premature action, in his view, could weaken the bank's position and limit its ability to respond if new economic shocks arise.

In conclusion, Kocher called for vigilance and caution in monetary policy so that the ECB can effectively respond to any future challenges. He stressed that maintaining financial stability is a key priority and that the ECB must be ready to take necessary measures to protect the economy from potential risks.

It is obvious that statements of this kind clearly indicate that during the December meeting, the European regulator is unlikely to introduce any changes to its policy agenda.

Regarding the current technical picture for EUR/USD, buyers now need to figure out how to reclaim the 1.1650 level. Only this will allow them to target a test of 1.1680. From there, the price could rise to 1.1715, though doing so without support from major market players will be quite difficult. The furthest target is 1.1730. If the instrument declines, only around 1.1625 do I expect any serious action from major buyers. If no support appears there, it would be best to wait for a renewal of the 1.1590 low or consider opening long positions from 1.1560.

Regarding the current technical picture for GBP/USD, pound buyers need to reclaim nearby resistance at 1.3250. Only this will allow them to target 1.3270, above which a breakout will be quite difficult. The furthest target is the 1.3300 level. If the pair falls, bears will attempt to regain control of 1.3225. If they succeed, a breakout of that range will deal a serious blow to the bulls' positions and push GBP/USD down to the 1.3203 low, with the prospect of reaching 1.3170.

コメントする

ForexMart is authorized and regulated in various jurisdictions.

(Reg No.23071, IBC 2015) with a registered office at First Floor, SVG Teachers Co-operative Credit Union Limited Uptown Building, Corner of James and Middle Street, Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Restricted Regions: the United States of America, North Korea, Sudan, Syria and some other regions.


aWS
© 2015-2025 Tradomart SV Ltd.
Top Top
Risk Warning:
Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.
Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.